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Mike’s NFL Picks 2007 Week 4
By Mike | September 28, 2007
I’m now 15-28-5 on the year. Not exactly the kinds of numbers that you want to see unless you are betting the opposite of my picks. Byes weeks start now, so at least I can’t get 16 wrong, although I’m going to have to practically run the table just to break even.
Here goes.
Houston Texans -3 at Atlanta Falcons - The storyline here is that Matt Schaub (I think that’s how you spell it. I’m too lazy to look it up so too bad) comes back to his old team and lights them up. Ahman Green is out and I’m not sure about Andre Johnson’s status, but I’m going to take the Texans anyway.
New York Jets -3.5 at Buffalo Bills - Don’t know much about either of these teams, but I’m going to go with the Jets.
Baltimore Ravens -4 at Clevland Browns - The Brown’s crazy offense doesn’t run up over 50 points against a defense like this. In fact they probably don’t roll up more than 10 points. And even though the Raven’s offense is nothing to brag about, it can outscore the Browns by at least 4.
St. Louis Rams +13.5 at Dallas Cowboys - 13.5 is a lot of points to be giving up, but this game is in Dallas, and the Cowboys are hot while the Rams are all kinds of bad. Plus Stephan Jackson is out. This could end up being one of those trap games where the Cowboys get beat by a crappy team, but I’m going to take the Cowboys anyway. On second thought. No I’m not. 13.5 is way too many points. The Cowboys will win with ease, but the Rams will get some points and lose by a TD, or maybe 10 points.
Chicago Bears -3 at Detroit Lions - I’m surprised the Bears are still favored here. They haven’t exactly looked good and over half of their defensive starters will be out, or playing hurt this week. I have a bad feeling Lions receiving corp sees what Dallas did last week and runs circles around the Bears. Plus I’ve picked the Bears every week so far and lost each time. Maybe if I go against them they’ll surprise me. I can’t believe I’m doing this but Lions +3.
Oakland Raiders +4 at Miami Dolphins - Have I ever mentioned how much I hate the Dolphins? Well I do. A lot. I pretty much hate any team from Florida. Nothing against Florida, just that the professional and college sports teams from there really piss me off. What does this have to do with my pick? Nothing really, except that I’m going to pick against them. I’ll take the points, but I think (and hope) the Raiders win straight up.
Green Bay Packers -3 at Minnesota Vikings - The Packers are really pissing me off this year. I was expecting them to be mediocre at best and the actually appear to have a legitimate team. And now I have to pick them to go on the road and win. Even though they are giving up three points. grr.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3 at Carolina Panthers - Steve Smith only caught one pass last week. He’ll have more TD’s than that this week. Panthers in a rout.
Seattle Seahawks -2.5 at San Fransisco 49ers - I don’t think the Seahawks are playing very well. Not that the niners are either, but they can at least hold off Seattle. Now that I’ve picked this, I fully expect a last second tie breaking field goal from Seattle. Stupid half point spreads.
Pittsburgh Steelers -6.5 at Arizona Cardinals - I don’t normally think of Pittsburgh as an offensive powerhouse, but they’ve been getting it done on that side of the ball this year. They should have no problem walking over the Cards, even in Phoenix.
Denver Broncos +10 at Indianapolis Colts - The Broncos are bad, the Colts pretty good, but both teams seem to have close games, so while I would be shocked if the Broncos win, I’d also be surprised if they lost by double digits.
Kansas City Chiefs +12 at San Diego Chargers - Sooner or later the Chargers are going to have to break out and show that they are as good as everyone thought during preseason, and if its not this week then it won’ t be this year. If the Bears can win by 10 the Chargers can win by 12.
Philadelphia Eagles -3 at New York Giants -I have almost the exact same thoughts about this game as I did about the Giants /Skins game last week. Of Coarse I was wrong last week as the Giants upset the Skins, I don’t think they’ll repeat. Eagles by a lot.
New England Patriots -7.5 at Cincinnati Bengals - I wonder what the over/under is on this game. Both offenses have been putting a lot of points on the board. The problem for the Bengals is that Patriots have a defense and the Bengals do not. This will be a high scoring game but look for the Pats to find the endzone about twice as often as Cincinnati. I’ll take the Patriots and give the points.
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